Recent Articles from PredictStreet

In the world of retail finance, the "meme stock" era has officially been replaced by the "event contract" era. Leading this charge is Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD), which has successfully pivoted its massive user base from speculative equity trading toward the rapidly expanding frontier of prediction markets. As of early February 2026, the platform has moved [...]

The landscape of global finance shifted permanently this winter as the Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE) finalized a staggering $2 billion strategic investment into Polymarket. For years, prediction markets were viewed as the "Wild West" of decentralized finance—a niche playground for crypto-natives and political junkies. However, with the backing of the world’s most powerful exchange operator, [...]

As of February 6, 2026, the traditional landscape of geopolitical analysis is undergoing a radical transformation. While cable news pundits and academic experts grapple with the nuances of diplomatic cables and legislative posturing, a more precise—and often more brutal—barometer has emerged: the prediction market. In the first week of February, these markets have become the [...]

As of February 6, 2026, the digital landscape has undergone a tectonic shift. Once relegated to the fringes of the internet and dismissed as "speculative casinos," prediction markets have officially entered the mainstream. This transformation is crystallized by the recent, sweeping policy updates from Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) and Meta (NASDAQ: META), which have moved to [...]

As of February 6, 2026, the intersection of high finance and political power has reached a new frontier. The Trump family, led by Donald Trump Jr., has successfully pivoted from the political arena into the bedrock of the global "Information Finance" (InfoFi) movement. With strategic advisory roles at the industry’s two largest platforms, Kalshi and [...]

As the 2026 midterm election cycle enters its most volatile phase, prediction markets have coalesced around a startlingly clear vision of the future: a deeply divided Washington. According to the latest data from Polymarket and Kalshi, the probability of Democrats retaking the House of Representatives has surged to a dominant 82%, while Republicans maintain a [...]

As of February 6, 2026, the prediction market industry is no longer just a niche playground for political junkies; it is the front line of a massive constitutional and regulatory war. At the center of this storm is Kalshi, the federally regulated exchange that has spent the last year oscillating between landmark legal victories and [...]

The world of prediction markets is currently reeling from what critics are calling the most brazen example of "political insider trading" in the history of decentralized finance. Just weeks after U.S. special forces conducted "Operation Absolute Resolve" to apprehend Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, a single trader on the platform Polymarket has become the face of [...]

As of February 6, 2026, the prediction market landscape has officially transitioned from a niche corner of the internet into a high-stakes battleground for global financial supremacy. Dubbed "The Great Prediction War of 2026," the industry is currently witnessing an unprecedented clash between the decentralized heavyweight Polymarket and the federally regulated Kalshi. At the center [...]

The year 2025 will be remembered in financial history as the moment prediction markets evolved from a niche curiosity into a foundational pillar of the global economy. What was once dismissed as "gambling for nerds" has transformed into a high-stakes "truth machine," providing real-time data that traditional polling and expert analysis have struggled to match. [...]

The primary market under the microscope is Kalshi’s "Pro Football Champion" contract, which specifically tracks the winner of Super Bowl LX. Unlike a traditional bet where a bookmaker sets a line and takes a margin (the "vig"), these event contracts allow users to trade shares of an outcome in a peer-to-peer fashion. At the current [...]

As of February 5, 2026, the global information landscape has been fundamentally reshaped not by a new cable news network or a government intelligence agency, but by the relentless, cold-blooded efficiency of prediction markets. What were once dismissed as niche "gambling" platforms for political junkies have evolved into what institutional analysts now call "Geopolitical Truth [...]

The legal boundary between a "hedge" and a "bet" has reached a breaking point. As of February 5, 2026, the prediction market industry is locked in what experts are calling a "jurisdictional civil war," pitting the federally regulated exchange Kalshi against a phalanx of state regulators. At the heart of the storm is a question [...]

In the world of finance, information has always been the most valuable currency. But as of early 2026, how that information is gathered, verified, and broadcast has undergone a fundamental transformation. The 2024 U.S. Election was the "proof-of-concept" for prediction markets; today, they have become the "Oracle Layer" for the global economy. Major media conglomerates, [...]

The capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro by U.S. special operations forces on January 3, 2026, was a geopolitical earthquake that few saw coming. But for one anonymous trader on the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket, the event was more than a headline—it was a $400,000 windfall. Hours before President Donald Trump took to Truth Social, [...]

While the dust of the 2024 election cycle has barely settled, the financial world is already placing its bets on the next battle for the White House. As of February 2026, prediction markets—the once-niche platforms that successfully forecasted the 2024 outcome with surgical precision—are signaling a clear trajectory for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election. Vice [...]

As the clock ticks toward the February Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, a new kind of "game day" ritual is taking over the morning routines of young investors. Forget the NFL playoffs or the NBA finals—for the 24 million active users on Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD), the most exciting play of the season is the "Macro [...]

As the Federal Reserve's March 2026 meeting approaches, a striking divergence has emerged between traditional financial instruments and the burgeoning world of "Information Finance." On Kalshi, the federally regulated prediction market, traders are increasingly convinced that the central bank will pivot toward easing. Currently, 64% of participants on the platform are betting on a 25-basis-point [...]

The global financial landscape has shifted into a new era of "Information Finance," or InfoFi, where the most valuable commodity is not gold or oil, but the "truth." As of February 5, 2026, the battle for dominance in this sector has narrowed down to two titans: Polymarket, the decentralized, crypto-native pioneer, and Kalshi, the regulated, [...]

The prediction market industry has officially shed its label as a niche corner of the internet for political junkies and sports bettors. As of early February 2026, the sector is celebrating a watershed moment: total trading volume surpassed a staggering $45 billion in 2025, a nearly five-fold increase from the previous year. This momentum shows [...]

The concept of "Information Finance," or InfoFi, has transitioned from a niche crypto-economic theory into a foundational pillar of global finance and media. As of February 2, 2026, prediction markets are no longer viewed as mere platforms for speculation; they have been repositioned as sophisticated data-transmission mechanisms that assign a market price to the accuracy [...]

As the calendar turns to February 2026, the United States is bracing for a political showdown that promises to be as much a financial event as a democratic one. The 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections are already generating unprecedented activity in the prediction market space, with traders pouring billions of dollars into contracts determining the future [...]

As of early February 2026, the global financial landscape has undergone a silent but profound architectural shift. Prediction markets, once dismissed as "gambling for nerds," have matured into the essential "Oracle layer" of the financial system. Today, institutional liquidity and algorithmic trading bots no longer wait for official press releases or the slow-moving updates of [...]

The prediction market landscape was forever altered on January 2, 2026, by what traders are now calling the "January 2nd Shockwave." While the industry has long flirted with mainstream relevance, this single day of unprecedented institutional-sized trades—triggered by a geopolitical "black swan" and a massive injection of Wall Street capital—has cemented prediction markets as the [...]

Polymarket, the prediction market platform that dominated the 2024 global news cycle, has officially entered its next act. In a bold strategic shift finalized in January 2026, the platform has transitioned from a fee-free information hub into a revenue-generating financial infrastructure. This move is headlined by the introduction of up to 3% "taker fees" on [...]

As of February 2, 2026, the meteoric rise of prediction markets has hit a significant roadblock not in Washington D.C., but in the state houses of Nevada and Connecticut. While 2025 was defined by Kalshi’s historic legal victory against the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), 2026 has opened with a multi-front "guerrilla war" as state [...]

As of early February 2026, the financial world has officially crossed the Rubicon. Prediction markets, once relegated to the fringes of internet forums and academic theory, have fully integrated into the DNA of the global financial system. The tipping point arrived not with a single event, but through a series of massive institutional migrations that [...]

In the early morning hours of January 3, 2026, the world woke to the stunning news that U.S. Army Delta Force commandos had successfully captured Nicolás Maduro in a daring raid codenamed Operation Absolute Resolve. While the geopolitical shockwaves were immediate, a different kind of explosion was occurring in the world of "InfoFi" or information [...]

As of early February 2026, the prediction market landscape has transformed from a niche hobby for "superforecasters" into a multi-billion dollar pillar of the global financial system. At the heart of this explosion is a titanic struggle for dominance between the two undisputed heavyweights: Polymarket and Kalshi. The stakes are nothing less than the title [...]

As of February 1, 2026, the global financial landscape has been fundamentally rewired by a concept once relegated to the fringes of crypto-economic theory: Information Finance, or "InfoFi." What began as a tool for political junkies to hedge election risks has evolved into the world’s most potent data transmission mechanism. Prediction markets have transitioned from [...]

As the world wakes up on February 1, 2026, the traditional tools of diplomacy and statecraft are increasingly being viewed through a new, high-resolution lens: the prediction market. In a year already defined by unprecedented volatility, three major geopolitical flashpoints have emerged as the primary drivers of global speculation. Traders are currently navigating a landscape [...]

The landscape of global finance reached a definitive turning point in late 2025, as prediction markets shed their reputation as "crypto-native niches" to become a cornerstone of the institutional financial stack. This transformation was signaled most loudly by the Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, which finalized a [...]

The traditional news ticker is undergoing a radical transformation. As of February 1, 2026, the familiar crawl of stock prices and weather updates has been joined—and in some cases replaced—by a far more dynamic metric: real-time "wisdom of the crowd" probabilities. From the halls of the U.S. Congress to the red carpets of Hollywood, prediction [...]

The dawn of 2026 has marked a definitive shift in the global financial ecosystem: prediction markets are no longer the exclusive playground of crypto-native speculators and data scientists. What was once a niche corner of the internet, often viewed with regulatory skepticism, has been institutionalized. Today, the "Wall Street Takeover" of prediction markets—now increasingly referred [...]

The landscape of American financial forecasting shifted fundamentally on January 29, 2026. In a move that market participants are calling a "regulatory ceasefire," Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chairman Michael Selig formally withdrew the proposed ban on political and sports event contracts—a relic of the Rostin Behnam era that had throttled the industry for nearly [...]

The predawn hours of January 3, 2026, will be remembered for one of the most audacious military operations in modern history: "Operation Absolute Resolve." As U.S. special operations forces descended on Caracas to extract Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, the geopolitical landscape shifted in an instant. But while the world watched the tactical execution of the [...]

As the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots prepare to take the field for Super Bowl LX at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California, a quiet financial revolution is unfolding in the stands and across the Golden State. Despite California’s long-standing and contentious ban on traditional sports betting, residents are currently pouring millions of dollars [...]

The prediction market landscape has officially entered its most volatile and high-stakes era yet. Following a staggering 2025 that saw over $40 billion in total trading volume, the industry is now locked in what analysts are calling the "Great Prediction War." This isn't just a race for market share; it is a fundamental clash between [...]

As of January 30, 2026, the way we consume news on X (formerly Twitter) has undergone a fundamental shift. No longer just a scroll of opinions and viral clips, the platform has transformed into what analysts are calling an "Information Finance" (InfoFi) engine. The cornerstone of this transformation is the seamless integration of live prediction [...]

As the prediction market industry enters its most ambitious year to date, a single contract on Manifold Markets has emerged as the definitive "North Star" for traders, regulators, and venture capitalists alike. The contract—"Which Prediction Market will have the highest total USD-equivalent trading volume in 2026?"—is currently trading with Polymarket as the 47% favorite, followed [...]

As the calendar turns to January 30, 2026, the global financial eye has shifted from the traditional exchanges of Wall Street to the high-stakes digital arenas of prediction markets. The primary catalyst is the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections, which have rapidly ascended to become the most significant volume driver in the history of the forecasting [...]

As we enter the first quarter of 2026, a fundamental shift is occurring in the architecture of global finance. For decades, institutional trading desks relied on the "terminal" model—terminal data from legacy providers, consensus surveys, and government reports—to price risk. Today, that hierarchy has been inverted. Algorithmic trading bots are no longer just participants in [...]

As of January 30, 2026, the financial landscape has undergone a tectonic shift. What were once dismissed as "speculative casinos" for crypto enthusiasts and political junkies have matured into the world’s most efficient "truth machines." Prediction markets, led by platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, are no longer just places to bet on who will win [...]

As of January 30, 2026, the global financial landscape is witnessing the official dawn of "InfoFi"—Information Finance. Prediction markets, once relegated to the fringes of the internet and academic white papers, have shattered the glass ceiling of mainstream adoption. This shift is being driven by a historic pivot from Silicon Valley’s titans, most notably Alphabet [...]

As of January 30, 2026, the meteoric rise of prediction markets faces its most existential threat yet: a "jurisdictional civil war" between federal regulators and state gaming authorities. While platforms like Kalshi have successfully argued their case before the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and federal courts, a new wave of state-level cease-and-desist orders is [...]

On January 20, 2026, the landscape of American finance shifted when Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ:HOOD) announced it had acquired a 90% majority stake in MIAXdx, a CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange. This move signals more than just a corporate expansion; it marks the moment prediction markets—once a niche interest for crypto enthusiasts and political junkies—officially became a [...]

In a move that has effectively ended the "Wild West" era of decentralized forecasting, Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE) has finalized a landmark $2 billion strategic investment in Polymarket. This massive capital injection, completed in January 2026, values the platform at $9 billion and serves as an institutional "seal of approval" that has fundamentally rewired the [...]

As of late January 2026, the prediction market landscape has officially transitioned from a niche fascination into a multi-billion dollar pillar of global finance. The industry, now frequently referred to as "Information Finance" or "InfoFi," hit a staggering record of $5.23 billion in combined weekly trading volume earlier this month. At the heart of this [...]

As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) convenes for its first meeting of 2026, the financial world is witnessing a rare moment of absolute conviction. On Polymarket, the world’s largest decentralized prediction market, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates at their current target of 3.50%–3.75% has surged to a staggering 99%. This [...]

As of late January 2026, the financial landscape has undergone a tectonic shift that few saw coming just two years ago. The integration of prediction markets into the everyday brokerage accounts of millions has transformed "event contracts" from a niche obsession into a multi-billion dollar pillar of mainstream finance. Today, the ability to trade on [...]

As of January 27, 2026, the prediction market industry is no longer a fringe hobby for statistics nerds or a seasonal interest for election cycles; it has evolved into a multi-billion dollar pillar of the global financial system known as "InfoFi" (Information Finance). On Manifold Markets, the industry's self-appointed "meta-layer," traders are currently obsessed with [...]

As of January 27, 2026, the geopolitical landscape in the Middle East has reached a fever pitch, and nowhere is this tension more visible than on global prediction markets. Polymarket, the world’s largest decentralized prediction platform, has seen the volume in its Iran-related military action markets explode to over $107 million. Traders are currently pricing [...]

The "Greenland Framework," a diplomatic and strategic pivot announced by President Donald Trump at the World Economic Forum in Davos on January 21, 2026, has sent shockwaves through geopolitical prediction markets. After weeks of escalating tensions that some dubbed the "Arctic Missile Crisis," the market is now pricing in a sophisticated compromise: the transition from [...]

In the week following the NCAA Football Championship, the dust is settling on more than just the gridiron. On January 20, 2026, the championship game did more than crown a college football king; it solidified Kalshi as a financial juggernaut. The platform recorded a staggering $111 million in trading volume for the single event, a [...]

As of January 27, 2026, the global financial landscape has been permanently altered by what analysts are calling the "Great Prediction War." This isn't a conflict of weapons, but of data, liquidity, and "truth pricing." For the first time in history, the collective intelligence of the crowd is outperforming traditional polling, expert analysis, and even [...]

As the final week of January 2026 unfolds, the euphoric "Bitcoin $100K" mantra that dominated New Year’s headlines is meeting a harsh reality check. Just two weeks ago, Bitcoin (BTC) stood on the precipice of history, peaking at a breathtaking $97,900 on January 14. Since then, the momentum has stalled, and the prediction markets—often the [...]

As the clock ticks toward a midnight deadline on January 31, 2026, the traditional halls of power in Washington D.C. are being outpaced by a different kind of authority: the collective intelligence of prediction markets. For weeks, political pundits maintained a cautious optimism that a funding deal would be reached, but the "smart money" has [...]

In January 2024, the prediction market industry was often dismissed as a high-stakes hobby for political junkies and crypto-anarchists. Fast forward to January 26, 2026, and the landscape has undergone a seismic shift. What began as a speculative niche has transformed into a $44 billion powerhouse, representing a staggering 130-fold growth in monthly trading volume [...]

In a legal maneuver that has sent ripples through the prediction market community, the state of Ohio has formally doubled down on its efforts to block federally regulated exchanges from operating within its borders. On January 23, 2026, the Ohio Casino Control Commission (OCCC) filed a notice of supplemental authority in federal court, signaling a [...]

January 26, 2026 — What once seemed like a fringe diplomatic curiosity or a social media provocation has transformed into a high-stakes geopolitical reality. Prediction markets are currently pricing in a significant probability that the United States will secure a formal stake in Greenland before the end of the decade. On Polymarket, a leading decentralized [...]

The landscape of global finance has been fundamentally reshaped this week as Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE), the powerhouse owner of the New York Stock Exchange, finalized a landmark $2 billion strategic investment into Polymarket. This massive capital injection, which values the decentralized prediction platform at a staggering $9 billion, marks a definitive turning point in [...]

As prediction markets move from the fringes of the internet to the center of the American financial landscape, a new battle is brewing over the integrity of the information they produce. On January 9, 2026, Representative Ritchie Torres (D-NY) introduced the Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 (H.R. 7004), a landmark bill [...]

As of January 26, 2026, the landscape of global finance is being reshaped not by interest rate swaps or traditional equities, but by the "Great Prediction War." On the popular meta-forecasting platform Manifold Markets, a high-stakes contract titled "Top 1 Prediction Market by Volume in 2026" has become the industry's most-watched barometer. Currently, Polymarket holds [...]

In a decision that has sent shockwaves through the prediction market and sports betting industries, Judge Christopher Barry-Smith of the Suffolk County Superior Court ruled on January 20, 2026, that the platform Kalshi must halt its sports-related "event contracts" in Massachusetts. The preliminary injunction represents a massive victory for Massachusetts Attorney General Andrea Joy Campbell, [...]

The National Hockey League (NHL) has officially shattered the glass ceiling for the prediction market industry. In a multiyear deal that has become the talk of both Wall Street and the sports world, the league has partnered with Kalshi and Polymarket to provide official proprietary data and broadcast branding rights. As of late January 2026, [...]

The intersection of high-stakes military intelligence and decentralized finance has reached a boiling point this week as Israeli security services launch an unprecedented investigation into a single prediction market account. The focus is on the user known as Rundeep (formerly RicoSauve666), whose uncanny ability to "predict" Israeli military operations has earned them over $150,000 in [...]

As Winter Storm Fern barrels toward the Northeast, New York City is bracing for its most significant snowfall in years, and prediction markets are reflecting the high stakes. On Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated exchange, traders have aggressively bid up the probability of a major event, with the consensus now pointing toward a heavy accumulation that could [...]

With the March 31 resolution date fast approaching, traders on decentralized prediction platforms are locked in a high-stakes debate over the future of the "Board of Peace" (BoP). As of January 24, 2026, the market for the new global conflict-resolution body has become a focal point for geopolitical speculators, with Russia currently sitting at a [...]

As of January 24, 2026, the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East is being distilled into a single, high-stakes number on the world’s leading prediction markets. Traders on Polymarket are currently pricing in a 21% probability that Ali Khamenei will be out as the Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28, 2026. This surge in [...]

As the January 31 deadline for federal funding rapidly approaches, the high-stakes political drama usually associated with Capitol Hill budget battles appears to be fizzling out—at least according to the collective intelligence of the world’s most active traders. On the leading decentralized prediction platform Polymarket, the probability of a U.S. government shutdown has plummeted to [...]

As of January 24, 2026, the geopolitical landscape has been rocked by a sudden and intense focus on the world's largest island. What was once dismissed as a peripheral diplomatic curiosity has transformed into one of the most liquid and debated markets in the prediction space. Traders are currently grappling with the nuances of "ownership" [...]

As January 2026 enters its final week, the digital landscape of prediction markets is flashing a warning sign that global intelligence communities and defense analysts are watching closely. On Polymarket, a decentralized prediction platform, the collective "wisdom of the crowd" is currently pricing in a significant possibility of a direct United States military strike on [...]

With the first Federal Reserve meeting of 2026 just days away, prediction markets have reached a state of near-total consensus. Traders are placing massive bets that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will opt to keep interest rates steady at its January 27–28 meeting, halting the cycle of rate cuts that defined the latter half [...]

The 98th Academy Awards race has officially entered its most volatile phase following the announcement of the official nominations today, January 24, 2026. In the immediate wake of the Academy's reveal, prediction markets have reacted with lightning speed, cementing a clear hierarchy that suggests a potential landslide victory for one of the year’s most ambitious [...]

As the NFL postseason reaches its fever pitch, the eyes of the financial and sporting worlds are locked on a high-stakes showdown in the Pacific Northwest. With the NFC Championship game scheduled for tomorrow, January 25, 2026, prediction markets have transformed a regional rivalry into a global betting phenomenon. The race for the Super Bowl [...]