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Why Remitly (RELY) Stock Is Falling Today

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What Happened?

Shares of online money transfer platform Remitly (NASDAQ:RELY) fell 4.7% in the morning session after JMP Securities lowered its price target on the company to $23 from $32, citing several near-term headwinds. 

The firm pointed to three key concerns weighing on the stock. These include management's comments suggesting third-quarter guidance is accurate without room for a positive surprise, and that analysts' 2026 revenue forecasts may be too optimistic. JMP also highlighted unanswered questions about Remitly's new lending products, particularly around their profitability, funding, and credit risk. A third factor was the potential impact of immigration enforcement news on the business. Despite the significant price target reduction of over 28%, JMP Securities maintained its "Market Outperform" rating, describing Remitly as "one of the strongest secular growth vehicles in FinTech.".

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What Is The Market Telling Us

Remitly’s shares are somewhat volatile and have had 12 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The previous big move we wrote about was 6 days ago when the stock gained 1.3% on the news that Wolfe Research upgraded the stock's rating to Outperform from Peerperform. 

The research firm set a price target of $25.00 for the digital payments company. The upgrade is based on Remitly's strong financial health, highlighted by a 35% year-over-year revenue growth and a solid liquidity position. Wolfe Research believes the company is well-positioned to benefit from long-term trends in digital money transfers and financial services. This positioning is expected to enable Remitly to continue capturing market share from more traditional, retail-focused providers in the sector.

Remitly is down 23.7% since the beginning of the year, and at $17.10 per share, it is trading 37% below its 52-week high of $27.14 from February 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Remitly’s shares at the IPO in September 2021 would now be looking at an investment worth $352.94.

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