What Happened?
Shares of online fashion retailer Revolve (NASDAQ:RVLV) jumped 17% in the morning session after the company posted third-quarter financial results that significantly beat profit expectations, driven by stronger margins. While revenue grew 4.4% year-over-year to $295.6 million, it narrowly missed Wall Street's estimates. However, investors focused on the bottom line, where earnings per share (EPS) of $0.29 more than doubled the consensus estimate of $0.12. The outperformance was fueled by a significant improvement in gross margin, which expanded by 3.5 percentage points to 54.6%. Additionally, the company's adjusted EBITDA of $25.35 million surpassed expectations by over 77%. Overall, the market cheered the impressive profitability, overlooking the slight revenue miss.
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What Is The Market Telling Us
Revolve’s shares are extremely volatile and have had 31 moves greater than 5% over the last year. But moves this big are rare even for Revolve and indicate this news significantly impacted the market’s perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was 1 day ago when the stock dropped 5% on the news that markets became increasingly wary of high valuations following a significant AI-driven rally. The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell approximately 1.4% as a wave of caution swept through the market. A key example of this trend is Palantir Technologies, which saw its shares drop around 7% despite reporting record quarterly results that surpassed analyst estimates and raising its full-year revenue outlook. This seemingly contradictory movement highlighted a broader sentiment shift. Investors appeared to be engaging in profit-taking, concerned that the recent surge in AI-related stocks had led to stretched valuations. This broader market caution affected high-growth technology companies that had previously surged on AI optimism but faced increased scrutiny, signaling a potential cooling-off period for the sector. Adding serious weight to this caution, leadership at both Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley highlighted the possibility of a correction in the equity markets over the next couple of years. Despite the euphoria driven by AI optimism and the promise of future rate cuts, these banks viewed this cooling-off period not as a disaster, but as a necessary and healthy feature of a long-term bull market.
Revolve is down 32.5% since the beginning of the year, and at $22.65 per share, it is trading 41.6% below its 52-week high of $38.80 from November 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Revolve’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $1,181.
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